Sometimes things in life just work out.
I assume everyone has been following the Maddie case in the UK and Portugal. Over there they have a family missing a small girl. Over here in Australia, we have a small girl missing a family. Lets give Pumpkin to the McCann’s, presuming they first promise not to drug and kill her.
C’mon, who thought that they killed her when the papers were going all crazy last week? I sure as hell did. Guilty as sin. Unfortunately it tuns out the ‘DNA in the boot was from the McCann non-missing/presumed dead children.
Now I think they probably didn’t do it, but I’m not basing this on mere evidence. I’m backing them because Richard Branson is backing them, and you don’t get to be a billionaire entrepreneur by betting on the wrong horse too many times.
It’s the same with elections. You can read the political columns and look at as many polls as you like, but if you really want to know what’s going to happen you look at the bookies. Follow the money.
I wonder if anyone has a book going on the Maddie case.
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4 comments:
Last time I checked what the bookies were saying about the election - they had odds on Labor to win, but if you looked at the betting seat-by-seat, and assumed all seats would be won/lost as per the betting odds, you'd find Labor would be a couple of seats short!
I don't really follow these "Timmy Trapped Down the Well" genre stories. They take away valuable column inches away from serious journalism...like what Warnie is up to.
That's interesting about the individual seat odds. I'd say that would be a reason for a popular vote/presidential system, but then we'd still be morning the loss of President Irwin.
Palmer's site generally has good analysis of the betting markets across the board re: the election.
http://www.ozpolitics.info/blog/2007/09/20/betting-market-update-60/
Looking at Centrebet today not all the NSW individual seats have got a book running on them yet, maybe that is a reason for the supposed ALP shortfall?
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